TRUMP'S PLAN TO INCREASE EXPORTS AND BRING JOBS BACK TO AMERICA
EXPLAINING A STRONG DOLLAR VS. A WEAK DOLLAR
America has had a strong dollar since the Clinton administration
•Foreign countries buying American goods will pay a higher price
•Imports to America are cheaper
•70% of everything American’s consume is imported—so we see deflation in prices (Our dollar buys more)
•The inverse is also true---American good are more expensive overseas.
CHOICES HAVE CONSEQUENCES
With a strong U.S. Dollar, American jobs will go overseas as they will follow manufacturing and go to the producing countries of the world.
As we import cheaper stuff we export jobs.
We see deflation in some of those prices as the U.S. Dollar will simply buy more stuff.
HERE’S THE REALITY
The inverse is also true---American goods are more expensive overseas
A GLOBALIST AGENDA OR A CONSUMER FOCUS?
A strong dollar is one way to boost the rest of the world while bringing America down.
Because we purchase more foreign goods
When we do that we export jobs to other countries to build all the stuff we are buying.
A CLASH OF WORLDVIEWS
The Trump administration represents a paradigm shift in U.S. Dollar policy that has dominated US policy since the Clinton administration.
Trump wants to ”make America great again!”
How does he want to accomplish this?
Bring jobs back to AmericaHe doesn’t want Americans or anyone for that matter buying Chinese, Indian, Mexican or European goods.
He wants everyone to buy American.To bring jobs back to America he needs to get the rest of the world buying our stuff.
Through a weak dollar policy!Then imports will be more expensive and,Exports will be cheaper!
EXPLAINING A WEAK DOLLAR POLICY
WHAT COMES WITH A WEAK DOLLAR
•Rising interest rates
These two go hand in hand. A weak dollar means fewer around the world want to invest in it. So, to entice investment in US treasuries, higher interest rates are required. The weaker US Dollar means prices will rise on imported goods and a shift in consumer behavior won’t happen quickly, thus inflation is coming!
CAN A PRESIDENT CHANGE ALL OF THIS?
Of course! Because past Presidential administrations caused this mess, present and future Presidential administrations can fix it—IF they are willing, as the fix will be painful.
HOW DO POLICY MAKERS SLOW DOWN INFLATION?
By raising interest rates to slow down borrowing.When rates are higher and people are handcuffed by debt, they slow down their spending as their debt service increases.When they slow down their spending, businesses get hurt, stock valuations come down, people get laid off.So, the exact policy that will bring jobs back to America, create economic growth, and make America great again will create a symptomatic effect of cooling down the economy that it just heated up.UNLESS. . . People get out of debt!
HOW DO DIFFERENT INVESTMENT CLASSES RESPOND TO A WEAK DOLLAR?
•BONDS: They will come down in value as interest rates go up. Get out now!
•REAL ESTATE: Short term UP. Medium and long term will come down.
•GOLD AND SILVER: Will go up as tangible assets will go up with the inflationary pressures. Additionally, gold and silver act as a safe haven investment when other assets are crumbling.
•STOCKS: Short term UP! Medium and long term will come down.